Ukraine Fact Sheet Feb. 2025 – Institute for the Study of War

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Zelensky does not imminently risk losing all of Ukraine.

Russian forces currently occupy around 20 percent of Ukraine, leaving the remaining 80 percent of the country under Ukraine’s sovereign control.

At the current rate of advance, it would take Russian forces over 83 years to capture the remaining 80 percent of Ukraine, assuming that they can sustain massive personnel losses indefinitely.

Russia’s rate of advance on the frontline has slowed significantly over the past three months.[1]

Russian forces are making small territorial gains at the cost of massive personnel losses.[2]

Russian forces advanced at an average rate of 27.94 square kilometers per day in November 2024, 18.1 square kilometers per day in December 2024, and 16.1 square kilometers per day in January 2025.[3]

Most Ukrainian cities have not been destroyed.

Many of Ukraine’s largest cities, including Kyiv, Lviv, Dnipro, and Odesa, have avoided destruction and continue to function. Russia has leveled some Ukrainian cities as it has attacked and occupied them, such as Mariupol.[4] Cities throughout the 80 percent of Ukraine that Russian forces have not occupied have remained largely intact during Russia’s invasion, apart from deliberate Russian strikes against critical and civilian infrastructure.[5]

Ukrainian law prohibits holding elections in wartime (unlike the US Constitution, which requires it).

Ukraine’s Constitution prevents the Ukrainian government from holding elections or amending the constitution in times of martial law.[6]

Russia triggered Ukraine’s martial law provisions when it launched its illegal invasion of Ukraine.

The Ukrainian government cannot constitutionally suspend martial law while Russia continues to attack Ukraine.

Ukrainian opposition politicians, including those who have historically run against Zelensky, have stated that holding elections under martial law would be both illegal and immoral.[7]

Ukraine has not suffered millions of losses.

Ukraine has not suffered “millions” of losses by any reliable estimate, either in terms of civilian or military casualties.

Zelensky stated on February 16, 2025, that Russia has killed 46,000 Ukrainian soldiers since the start of the full-scale invasion, and that Ukraine has suffered over 390,000 soldiers wounded in action.[8]

US officials have placed the number of Ukrainian military losses between 60,000 and 70,000, but no reputable source places casualty estimates near or in the millions.[9]

The UN confirmed that Russia had killed over 12,000 Ukrainian civilians as of the end of 2024.[10]

Europe provides about as much direct aid to Ukraine as the United States.

Europe (including European Union [EU] members and EU institutions plus Norway and the UK) has overtaken the United States in terms of cumulative direct (military and non-military) aid allocations to Ukraine (not counting the costs of US forces forward-deployed in Eastern Europe).[11]

  • Europe has provided Ukraine with a total of $166 billion in cumulative aid and pledged an additional $34.7 billion to be allocated through 2030.[12]
  • Europe has provided and pledged approximately $204.1 billion in all — over $174 billion from the EU, $13.9 billion from Norway, and $16.2 billion from the UK — compared to America’s $183 billion.[13]
  • These figures do not include the EU and G7 commitments to provide loans to Ukraine financed by income generated from frozen Russian assets.

European loans to Ukraine are backed by income from frozen Russian assets, not Ukraine.

The EU is contributing $20 billion in loans to Ukraine that are backed by extraordinary revenues from immobilized Russian sovereign assets, not Ukraine.[14]

  • The EU holds approximately $220.5 billion in Russian frozen assets.[15]
  • The EU has already made available $1.6 billion for Ukraine from immobilized Russian assets and disbursed $3.2 billion in loans in January 2025.

Ukraine did not misuse or lose half of the aid the United States has provided.

The majority of the funds the United States has allocated for Ukraine stays in the United States to fund domestic defense industrial base and replenish US stockpiles.[16]

US government agencies closely oversee the remaining US aid, which is directly issued to Ukraine. The US Department of Defense (DoD) Office of the Inspector General reported on January 11, 2024, that it had found no evidence of misappropriated aid.[17]

Ukraine repeatedly invited Putin to negotiate in early 2022.

Zelensky proposed to meet with Putin on February 19, 2022 — just five days before Russia launched its full-scale invasion.[18] Putin ignored this request and invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022.[19]

Zelensky called for direct talks with Putin “in any format” in March 2022 and offered to compromise on Ukraine’s accession into NATO.[20] The Russians demanded the full surrender and demilitarization of Ukraine.[21]

Zelensky also expressed openness to discussing the status of occupied Ukrainian territories on the condition that the Ukrainian people would ratify any deal through a referendum.[22] Putin rejected that offer as well.

Saluting Ukrainian Veterans in Vancouver

As we were walking through Vancouver International Airport yesterday, a contingent of Ukrainian veterans passed by, heading home from the Invictus Games here in British Columbia.

Clumping along on artificial limbs, rolling in wheelchairs, heading home, though they probably already knew that Trump and Musk were readying to abandon Ukraine and throw them to the Russian invaders.

Their silent, strong, endurance made me stand tall and shout, “Слава Україні!,” or Glory to Ukraine. It’s the Ukrainian national salute, known as a symbol of Ukrainian sovereignty and resistance to foreign aggression. It is often accompanied by the response “Героям слава,” or To the Heroes — Glory!

It was a tiny gesture, but they looked at us and roared back “Героям слава.”

A tiny gesture, but I hope it had some hope in it. . . .

Never forget that Ukraine did not ask for this fight, for over 3 years it has always been a blatantly illegal Russian invasion. We cannot let the rising tide of right-wing totalitarianism rewrite history.

Letting Midori the Turtle Go

Damn, sad news today.

Midori the Turtle has been ailing. Getting very slow and not eating much. Took her to the vet the other day, and he prescribed an oral liquid painkiller twice a day.

Today we got the results of various tests.

She has severe arthritis in all of her joints, and is also likely losing kidney function. There’s likely no treatment that her aging body can handle at this point that will improve her mobility or handle all her pain.

She’s 30 years old, pretty good for a Slider. We’ve cared for her all those years from the time she was the size of a toonie. She’s always been an interactive turtle, loving to sit on laps.

Both of our cats, our late Choco and our current Sora, have been good buddies with ’Dori.

Yumi Midori Choco
Yumi, Choco the Cat, and  Midori, circa 2012

Sora the Cat and Midori the Turtle
Sora the Cat cuddling with Midori recently. Please folks, do not get turtles for pets unless you can give them that 30-year committment.

 

We don’t want to let her go, but it would be selfish of us to prolong her suffering with more intervention.

It’s gonna be a tough week. . .

UPDATE: Jan. 14, 2025

Final family foto:

Yumi, Paul, Midori, Sora final photo

UPDATE 2:

Humans seize upon the smallest things for comfort. . . It was a beautiful ethereal pink sunset this evening, as if Midori was approaching the Rainbow Bridge and letting us know she’d be waiting for us some day. . .

Sad Sora the Cat missing Midori the Turtle

How do you explain to Sora the Cat that her buddy Midori is not coming home? Sora checks the tank, checks the sleeping basket, and is clearly wondering where her pal is. . . And our distress adds to Sora’s confusion. . .

But we take comfort in knowing that for 30 years, we loved, and cared for, and supported Midori throughout her wonderful life.

Born in the southern States, shipped to Japan in the pet trade, chosen by us because she was the most active wee turtle in the bunch at a local home improvement store in western Tokyo. (Yes, no regulations back then. . . )

Did we know what we were getting into? No. But we fell in love, and Midori reciprocated that love by seeking our attention and wanting cuddles from the day we brought her home.

All the pet turtle books say don’t stress your turtle with changes of scene. Midori? Fah! I love to ride in the car and look out the window!

From Japan she moved to Canada with us, and travelled several times across the western provinces. She loved my late Mom’s and her husband’s acreage near Saskatoon where she’d go on long rambles.

She also enjoyed visiting a family apartment in Victoria with a solarium where she could hang out and soak up the rays. Everyone in our family was enchanted with her, as were all our friends.

We’ll be reminiscing a lot, and shedding tears, for many days.

We love you, Dori.

Closing Out the Year with Rice Lake Walk, Japanese Traditions

We took a walk around Rice Lake in North Vancouver, BC, on the last day of 2024.

Happy New Year!

Nature photos from Rice Lake in North Vancouver, BC

Yumi is preparing some Japanese treats for New Year’s Eve including Chawanmushi, and we’ll end the evening with Toshikoshi Soba — buckwheat noodles in a chicken broth that have have various symbolic meanings.

Buckwheat noodles break easily, so some say you’re breaking with the past on the last day of the year. Buckwheat noodles are also long and healthy, symbolic of a long life ahead. . .

Keep That Annual Physical Going

Been doing my annual round of medical tests — bloodwork, FIT, ultrasound. . .

Somehow these all landed in my vacay time around Christmas and New Year’s 🙂. Oh well, had a bunch of vacay lined up anyway, and it’s been pretty much rain every day here on the west coast of BC.

When hundreds of millions of people are starving around the world, and tens of millions are under attack by totalitarian dictatorships, it’s stupid to be grumpy about not being able to eat or drink for 12 hours ahead of getting some tests done.

I should be grateful the tests are being done, and that a little over 12 hours from now, there’s a full fridge and cupboards to come home to after my morning visit to the lab.

Anyway, I know finding and having a family doctor has been tough for years in BC, and I treasure mine, but if you can, get your annual testing done somehow, somewhere.

It’s so much better to catch things developing than to have them discovered full blown, eh?

Streamkeeping, sustainability, community, business, photography, books, and animals, with occasional forays into social commentary. Text and Photos © Paul Cipywnyk